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Did HYPE really fall because of Aster?
Original title: Hyperliquid's HYPE Slumps as Attention and Capital Rotate to New DEX Tokens & HYPE's Damocles Sword
Original author: Akash Girimath &@MaelstromFund
Original compilation: Ismay, BlockBeats
Editor's note: The potential selling pressure brought about by the unlocking of HYPE has become one of the risks that the market is most concerned about. Research institutions such as Maelstrom estimate that the current buyback size can only cover about 17%, and there is still a monthly token supply gap of up to $410 million. However, on September 23, Hasu, director of strategy at Flashbots and strategic advisor to Lido, made a controversial proposal with DBA co-founder Jon: to cut the total supply of HYPE by 45%. In the context of increasingly competitive Perp DEX and the dual test of narrative and liquidity, it remains to be seen whether this supply reform can rebuild market confidence or be merely a stopgap measure.
The following is the original content:
Hyperliquid's HYPE token has fallen for four consecutive days, down more than 16%, while the newly listed decentralized exchange token doubled over the weekend.
CEX. IO chief analyst Illia Otychenko said in an interview with Decrypt: "There has really been a shift in attention in the past few days." DEX tokens Aster, Avantis, and STBL surged by 124%, 125%, and 147%, respectively, over the weekend, according to TradingView data.
In contrast, Hyperliquid has fallen more than 13% since its weekend high and continues to fall 7.4% today, hitting $47.83 at one point during the session.
Meanwhile, users began bearish HYPE over the weekend, and last Sunday, forecasters gave a 62% chance that HYPE would rise to $69, but by Monday morning, this trend had almost reversed, with users instead seeing a 58% probability of HYPE falling to $39.
Reasons for HYPE's decline
Peter Chung, head of research at Presto Research, told Decrypt that the reason for the decline in Hyperliquid's price was that investors took profits. Otychenko also pointed out that this is the result of a "partial capital rotation" and that large investors are selling HYPE.
Among them is BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes, who sold 96,600 HYPE worth approximately $5.1 million last Sunday.
Additionally, Hayes' family fund, Maelstrom, hinted in a tweet on Monday that approximately 237.8 million HYPE will be unlocked linearly starting November 29. At CoinGecko's current price of $49, the unlocked tokens are valued at approximately $11 billion.
Maelstrom also added that Hyperliquid's buybacks and buying pressure from digital asset vault companies are expected to bring up to $410 million per month compared to the upcoming unlock scale.
Market outlook and risks
As competition from emerging decentralized exchanges intensifies, Otychenko suggests that the key question is whether these new tokens can continue to capture market attention after their initial popularity fades.
"The risks are high right now," he added, "especially Aster, whose token supply is concentrated in a few wallets, making it highly susceptible to wild volatility or manipulation."
Related Reading: "ASTER Soars 4x in a Week, Taking Advantage of Binance to Challenge Hyperliquid"
Aster, a BNB Chain-based decentralized exchange, received a thumbs up last Wednesday from Binance co-founder CZ, who tweeted, "Good start, keep building."
HYPE's Damocles Sword
Hyperliquid has been soaring all the way - the ecosystem is booming, trading volume is at an all-time high, and USDH's bidding war is known as one of the sexiest "beauty pageants" in crypto history. But under the crown, the sword of Damocles hangs – HYPE is about to face its first real test.
Starting from November 29, 237.8 million HYPE will be unlocked linearly for 24 months. At $50 each, this translates to $11.9 billion worth of team tokens unlocked – equivalent to about $500 million in potential selling pressure entering the market every month.
The problem is that the current buyback effort can only absorb about 17%, which means that with a monthly token supply of $410 million hanging over the market, has the market already digested such a huge unlock?
Imagine you're a Hyperliquid developer – you've worked this project for years, and now a life-changing token fortune is starting to unlock and can be cashed out with just a click. What would you do?
Can DAT turn the tide?
As Sonnet progresses, one of the largest DATs in crypto history is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2025. It raised approximately 583 million HYPE tokens along with $305 million in cash. However, even if Sonnet were to be merged with other smaller HYPE DATs, it would still be a drop in the bucket compared to the huge unlocks to come.
If you move the cheese of the old crypto forces, don't expect to retreat with you. Business is war, and the vast majority of crypto products have historically short lifecycles - winners are bound to attract a group of "vampire-style" attackers. Today, competition is intensifying, both from leading exchanges and emerging challengers like Lighter.xyz (Maelstrom portfolio company). CZ pushed Aster two months before unlocking? Most likely it is not a coincidence.
"Original link"



I invited Mr. Feng Shui to come to the house to take a look, and it really worked
I couldn't make money some time ago, what I bought and fell, and I took off when I sold it, I was wondering if the feng shui at home was destroyed, so I quickly invited a feng shui teacher to come to the house to take a look, and looked around, and the feng shui teacher found the underwear hanging above his head in the bathroom
Some time ago, countless tickets were sold, 400 times, 10 times, 20 times, all of which almost made me depressed, and in the past few days, I really transferred to catch aster glggle and today's uxlink
Today's UXLINK 20U goes in 400U out 20 times the little dog, although it doesn't cost a few dollars, but this is clear and really starts to be transferred, the next big position is a hundred times, I feel that it is just around the corner, happy
$UXLINK $ASTER $GIGGLE


In the past few days, holding $aster as stable as Mount Tai Just now, the project party has also announced the benefits of repurchase, and after the market stabilizes, it will continue to play rhythm dance



Ripe
Today's third day according to Qimen today's $Aster is also rising, in 1.5 to buy some spot, yesterday in 1.8 successively out of 2/3 positions, the internal group 0.18 pressed the head to get on the car, just 10 times, 0.4 tweet also 5 times, this wave of eating is really comfortable, optimistic about CZ's strategic plan, long-term look at 4-5U,
Still the previous idea, as long as Binance is not on the spot, it will always be pulled, of course, they will not be on the spot, at least not in the short term, the best way to market a platform is to pull the platform currency, before that, many people don't know this platform, many people know what this platform is doing through this coin. It reminds me of when $hype was launched, there was basically no big pullback, and there was no turning back
Don't doubt CZ's big cousin's ambitions, the most popular share of the contract market industry, must be grabbed, in the past year or so, hype has gradually and slowly begun to threaten the Binance contract market, especially in the first half of the year, many large whales gradually switched to the chain and are no longer playing on CEX, CZ once said that the future market must be on the chain,

About Aster (ASTER)
Latest news about Aster (ASTER)

Aster introduces 300x leverage trading for $HYPE token
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Sep 23, 2025|Crypto Briefing

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Perps exchange Aster to launch native ASTER token with 704M airdrop
Aster, a decentralized perpetuals exchange backed by YZi Labs, will launch its ASTER token on...
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Aster FAQ
What is cryptocurrency?
Cryptocurrencies, such as ASTER, are digital assets that operate on a public ledger called blockchains. Learn more about coins and tokens offered on OKX and their different attributes, which includes live prices and real-time charts.
When was cryptocurrency invented?
Thanks to the 2008 financial crisis, interest in decentralized finance boomed. Bitcoin offered a novel solution by being a secure digital asset on a decentralized network. Since then, many other tokens such as ASTER have been created as well.
Can I buy ASTER on OKX?
No, currently ASTER is unavailable on OKX. To stay updated on when ASTER becomes available, sign up for notifications or follow us on social media. We’ll announce new cryptocurrency additions as soon as they’re listed.
Why does the price of ASTER fluctuate?
The price of ASTER fluctuates due to the global supply and demand dynamics typical of cryptocurrencies. Its short-term volatility can be attributed to significant shifts in these market forces.
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