The Line has finally come to an end, and @Surf_Copilot is still quite accurate.
I just asked again for bottom-fishing advice:
1. If it continues to drop, wait and see.
2. If there are signs of a rebound, entry price is 0.0255.
First, build a 20% position on the spot, place an order at 0.0255, hoping to get filled. Looking at 0.04 in the medium term, this is the last hope for L2. 💪

Linea首发上线币安Alpha,有啥机会
我刚听到这个消息,也很纳闷,@LineaBuild不是小项目,又不缺流量
它有MetaMask的原生集成、zkEVM技术升级路线图,以及双重烧毁机制(80% $LINEA + 20% ETH),这些都让它在L2赛道中脱颖而出,不缺宣发和流动性,为啥要去凑Binance Alpha?
随口问了一下@Surf_Copilot,加上社区里面的其他声音,我觉得这是一波教科书版本的控盘,可稳定吃一波,学着点:
1、缓冲 FDV
Linea 这种体量的项目,如果直接上 Binance 主站,FDV 一定会被市场情绪顶到极高水平(参考 Aptos/ARB 的 80B+ 剧本)。
这对早期投资人和团队反而是个负担,因为未来解锁一旦到来,就会变成极大的卖压。Alpha 这种“半正式”市场,给了它一个低流通、可控的试验场。
2. 和空投节奏绑定
撸毛人的空投领取解锁时间也是在两天后,与Binance Alpha一致,也就是说领了就可以卖了,但是是Binance Alpha。
3. Burn 机制的对冲实验
目前 2.6% $LINEA 已经被烧掉,看起来是要在 Alpha 市场里“边卖边烧”,观察实际能不能对冲掉卖压。
这有点像是 链上货币实验室,对后续主站交易的政策设计很有价值。当然,社区看到“Burn 2.6% 却投放 3%”会觉得净增供应,这是 Alpha 阶段必须承受的舆论负反馈。
4. 交易区间的博弈
Pre-market 已经把价格锚定在 $0.035–0.055 区间,Alpha 如果开在 $0.03 以下,就会有一波很凶的“自我强化下跌循环”。
但我反而觉得,如果开盘杀到 $0.025–0.03,这个位置几乎就是“非理性抛压”+“市场自我踩踏”导致的超卖,可以盯死这个点附近,可能是波抄底的机会。
✅ 总结:
我觉得 Linea 上 Binance Alpha 是为了降落伞开盘——在最小流通盘+最小舆论场里完成价格发现,既释放撸毛人的卖压,也避免 FDV 被吹得过高。
前面还有各交易所的主站作为利好,就看怎么抄底了,0.025–0.03是重要观察点(@Surf_Copilot给出的建议)
长期来看,Linea 生态 TVL 已超 1.2 B(Aave 独占 50%),10 月 Ignition 激励计划如期释放 1 B LINEA 奖励,生态锁仓可对冲解锁抛压,FDV 才有持续扩张空间。
(加密市场讯息万变,非投资建议)

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