monad and megaeth have the same cold start problem as all chains do
- chains launch fairly hyped but mostly don’t do much for a few weeks
- after 2-4 months enough has come together that some better apps/coins start to take off
- “I called it” chuds announce their victory laps
- eco is still not established enough to run forever on its own
- cools down, then spends the next year trying to find actual market fit
- either dies at that point or does a serious takeoff
Base and Arbitrum are good examples of fairly successful launches > 1yr after starting
Bera/Blast examples of ones that have failed
Abstract an example of a “maybe”
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Would probably advise ignoring anyone saying monad is dead after 2 weeks and likewise for mega. Real evaluation starts 4-6 months out. Final decisions can be made 12-18 months out.
personally looking forward to mega especially
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